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Will Palestinian Authority regain control over Jenin by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies or official statements by Palestinian Authority
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U.S. Requests Israel's Approval for Military Aid to Palestinian Authority Amid 'Protect the Homeland' Operation in Jenin
Dec 15, 2024, 06:03 PM
The United States has requested Israel to approve urgent military assistance for the Palestinian Authority (PA) as it undertakes a significant operation in Jenin, aimed at regaining control from armed factions. This operation, named 'Protect the Homeland,' is the largest conducted by Palestinian security forces in years and is seen as a critical effort to counter militant groups, particularly Hamas, which has recently increased its activities in the region. U.S. officials have indicated that the PA's actions are timely given the changing dynamics in the area, emphasizing the need for the PA to maintain its presence in volatile regions to ensure the operation's success.
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Moderate reduction in resistance activity • 25%
Significant reduction in resistance activity • 25%
Increase in resistance activity • 25%
No change in resistance activity • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
PA regains full control • 25%
Continued conflict with no clear control • 25%
Militants retain control • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Collapse of authority • 25%
Stable with no major changes • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli-appointed administration • 25%
