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What will be the security situation in Jenin by end of 2024?
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Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Jenin•West Bank•Hamas•Ahmed Abu Ara•Raafat Dawasi•Shin Bet•Jordan Valley•Palestinian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased IDF presence • 25%
Decreased IDF presence • 25%
Increased Hamas activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from major news agencies like Reuters, BBC, or official statements from IDF or Palestinian authorities
Story
IDF Drone Strike in Jenin Kills Two Senior Hamas Members, Four Fighters
Aug 17, 2024, 06:57 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed a drone strike targeted a vehicle in Jenin, West Bank, resulting in the deaths of two senior Hamas members, Ahmed Abu Ara and Raafat Dawasi. The operation, conducted in collaboration with Shin Bet, aimed to eliminate individuals involved in planning a shooting attack in the Jordan Valley. The strike, which occurred in a crowded street, involved two missiles and resulted in the deaths of four Palestinian fighters, according to reports. Hamas confirmed the deaths of its senior members, who were involved in terrorist activities and the production of explosives.
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PA regains full control • 25%
Continued conflict with no clear control • 25%
Militants retain control • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Continued conflict • 25%
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Complete withdrawal of IDF • 25%
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Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
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Arrests of Hamas-affiliated individuals • 25%
Confiscation of weapons • 25%
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