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Which countries will be involved in diplomatic responses to the border incident by December 31, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Poland only • 33%
Poland and Belarus • 33%
Poland, Belarus, and EU • 33%
Official government announcements, major news outlets
Story
Polish Soldier Dies After Stabbing by Migrant at Belarus-EU Border
Jun 6, 2024, 05:42 PM
A Polish soldier has died after being stabbed by a migrant while attempting to stop a group from crossing the border from Belarus into the European Union. The incident occurred last week on Thursday when the soldier was attacked with a makeshift bayonet. Following the attack, the soldier succumbed to his injuries in the hospital. In response to the incident, Poland has summoned the Belarusian envoy in Warsaw.
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Condemnation but no action • 25%
Sanctions against Belarus • 25%
Military support to Poland • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase their own border security • 33%
Protest formally against Poland • 33%
No significant response • 34%
No significant action • 33%
Expulsion of Belarusian diplomats • 33%
Introduction of new sanctions • 33%
Increase border security • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks with Belarus • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Seek EU-wide solution • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions against Poland • 25%
Neutral/no significant response • 25%
Sanctions or actions against Israel • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 33%
No significant international response • 33%
UN Peacekeeping Mission • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
New Peace Talks • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Support UK • 33%
Support Russia • 33%
Remain Neutral • 34%
No further involvement • 25%
Involvement by France • 25%
Involvement by the United States • 25%
Involvement by the European Union • 25%
Yes • 33%
No • 33%
Limited • 34%
US supports Taiwan • 25%
China takes control of Taiwan • 25%
Both sides reach a peaceful resolution • 25%
Stalemate with no clear resolution • 25%
No response • 33%
Denial of involvement • 33%
Confirmation of involvement • 33%