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Major countries' stance on Taiwan conflict by the end of 2024?
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US•China•Taiwan Straits•Chinese•Xi Jinping•United States•Beijing•Taiwan•Xi•European Commission•Ursula von der Leyen•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
US supports Taiwan • 25%
China takes control of Taiwan • 25%
Both sides reach a peaceful resolution • 25%
Stalemate with no clear resolution • 25%
Official statements from respective governments, major news agencies like Reuters, BBC, CNN
Story
US Claims China Preparing for Taiwan Conflict Next Year; Xi Accuses US of Habitual Provocation
Jun 15, 2024, 09:00 PM
A US congressional commission has claimed that China is preparing for a potential conflict in the Taiwan Straits, possibly as early as next year. Analysts stated that this is a habitual move by the US to escalate regional tensions. In response, Chinese President Xi Jinping has accused the United States of attempting to provoke Beijing into attacking Taiwan. Xi conveyed this sentiment during a meeting with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in April 2023, stating that Washington was trying to trick China into invading Taiwan but that he would not take the bait. Xi has reportedly issued similar warnings to his domestic officials, raising concerns about the information he receives from his subordinates.
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Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from Russia or North Korea • 25%
Neutral stance by the EU • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
United States • 20%
Japan • 20%
Australia • 20%
None • 20%
Other • 20%
USA • 25%
Japan • 25%
ASEAN countries • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military intervention • 34%
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%
Broad international support for China • 25%
Mixed international reaction • 25%
Broad international support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
US intervenes militarily • 33%
China takes military action • 33%
No significant military action • 34%
Support UK • 33%
Support Russia • 33%
Remain Neutral • 34%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Support Taiwan • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Support China • 33%
Support from Western Allies • 25%
Neutral Reactions • 25%
Criticism from China • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
No conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
Full-scale conflict • 34%