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When will the next significant naval encounter between Philippine and Chinese vessels in the South China Sea occur?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Within 1 month • 25%
Within 3 months • 25%
Within 6 months • 25%
No significant encounter in 6 months • 25%
Official statements from the involved governments or verified news reports
Story
Philippine Coast Guard Ships Damaged in August 25 Collisions with Chinese Vessels
Aug 25, 2024, 07:03 AM
The Philippine government reported that two of its coast guard ships were damaged following collisions with Chinese vessels near a disputed reef in the South China Sea. On August 25, the incidents occurred as the Philippine vessels, including vessel No. 3002, allegedly intruded into the waters near Xianbin Jiao, part of China's Nansha Qundao, without permission. China claims that its coast guard took necessary control measures in response to what it described as unlawful and aggressive maneuvers by the Philippine ships. The situation has heightened tensions between the two nations over the contested maritime region.
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Naval encounter • 25%
Airspace violation • 25%
Fishing rights dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No further incidents • 25%
Minor incidents • 25%
Major incidents • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
Military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Philippine military exercise • 25%
Chinese military exercise • 25%
Joint exercise with allies • 25%
No significant movement • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military standoff • 25%
Other • 25%