Loading...
Market
How will the territorial dispute involving Xianbin Jiao be resolved by August 25, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Bilateral agreement • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Official statements from the involved governments or verified news reports
Story
Philippine Coast Guard Ships Damaged in August 25 Collisions with Chinese Vessels
Aug 25, 2024, 07:03 AM
The Philippine government reported that two of its coast guard ships were damaged following collisions with Chinese vessels near a disputed reef in the South China Sea. On August 25, the incidents occurred as the Philippine vessels, including vessel No. 3002, allegedly intruded into the waters near Xianbin Jiao, part of China's Nansha Qundao, without permission. China claims that its coast guard took necessary control measures in response to what it described as unlawful and aggressive maneuvers by the Philippine ships. The situation has heightened tensions between the two nations over the contested maritime region.
View original story
Similar markets
Peaceful negotiation • 25%
Escalation of military presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Philippines gains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Ongoing standoff • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Increased Japanese presence • 25%
Increased Chinese presence • 25%
Joint patrols by both nations • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
China agrees to withdraw the vessel • 25%
Philippines agrees to Chinese presence • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions on Japan • 25%
No further action • 25%
Resolution through negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
China removes the buoy • 25%
Joint monitoring agreement • 25%
Continued tension • 25%
Other • 25%
China gains control • 25%
Philippines gains control • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
China backs down • 25%
Philippines backs down • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Agreement to continue talks • 25%
No progress made • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Chinese ship withdraws • 25%
Philippine ship withdraws • 25%
Both ships remain • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%