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When will Russia successfully test the RS-28 Sarmat ICBM?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
By December 31, 2024 • 25%
By March 31, 2025 • 25%
By June 30, 2025 • 25%
By December 31, 2025 • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian Ministry of Defense or credible news sources
Story
Russia's Fourth RS-28 Sarmat ICBM Test Fails, Destroys Plesetsk Test Site
Sep 22, 2024, 01:35 AM
Russia's latest test of the RS-28 Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), also known as Satan II, ended in failure. The liquid-fueled missile detonated inside its silo at the Plesetsk test site in the Arkhangelsk region, leaving a massive crater and destroying the test site. This marks at least the fourth failed test of the RS-28 Sarmat. Satellite imagery confirmed the extent of the damage, showing a large crater and a fire at the launch site.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
