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What will be the next major development in Russia's ICBM program by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful test • 25%
Another failed test • 25%
No further tests • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian Ministry of Defense or verified satellite images
Story
Russian Sarmat ICBM Test Fails, Destroys Plesetsk Cosmodrome Launch Site with 62-Meter Crater
Sep 22, 2024, 01:14 PM
Satellite images reveal that the RS-28 Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile test at the Plesetsk Cosmodrome ended in failure. The missile detonated in its silo, creating a massive crater and destroying the test site. Images from Planet Labs and other sources show significant damage, with the crater measuring 62 meters in diameter. The failed test at the Archangelsk launch site, specifically at the Yubileynaya pad, has raised concerns about the reliability of Russia's new-generation ICBM. Comparison images from July 10 and September 21 highlight the extent of the damage.
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Improved speed • 25%
Enhanced precision • 25%
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