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What will be the U.S. role in the Israel-Gaza deal by January 20, 2025?
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Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•White House•Security•Jake Sullivan•Donald Trump•Sullivan•Netanyahu•Doha
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mediator • 25%
Observer • 25%
Direct negotiator • 25%
No role • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Israeli government, major news outlets
Story
Biden to Discuss Gaza Hostage and Ceasefire Deal with Netanyahu Before Trump's Inauguration
Jan 12, 2025, 02:54 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden is expected to speak with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the near future to discuss ongoing negotiations over a hostage deal and ceasefire in Gaza. White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan indicated that an agreement is very close but not finalized, expressing hope that a deal could be reached before January 20, when Donald Trump is set to be inaugurated. Sullivan's comments suggest a sense of urgency and cautious optimism regarding the negotiations. Netanyahu has dispatched his most senior-level negotiators to Doha to facilitate the talks.
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Supportive role • 25%
Opposing role • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Mediating role • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Direct negotiation • 25%
Mediation • 25%
Military support • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Major diplomatic role • 25%
Minor diplomatic role • 25%
No role • 25%
Unclear role • 25%
Significant role • 25%
Minor role • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Military Strategy • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar leads to successful agreement • 25%
Egypt leads to successful agreement • 25%
US leads to successful agreement • 25%
No successful mediation • 25%