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What will be the Turkish government's next major action in response to Kurdish reconciliation efforts by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Announce new policies • 25%
Initiate peace talks • 25%
Increase military actions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official government announcements and major news reports
Story
Turkey's Pro-Kurdish DEM Party Meets Jailed PKK Leader Abdullah Ocalan for First Time in 10 Years, Signals Possible End to Insurgency
Dec 29, 2024, 03:05 AM
Turkey has permitted lawmakers from the pro-Kurdish Democratic Regions Party (DEM) to meet with Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), marking the first such visit in nearly a decade. The Justice Ministry approved the meeting, which took place on İmralı Island, as part of ongoing efforts toward Kurdish reconciliation. During the meeting, Ocalan reportedly expressed his willingness to contribute positively to a new political paradigm in Turkey, emphasizing the importance of strengthening Turkish-Kurdish brotherhood. His remarks included a suggestion that he might be ready to call for an end to the insurgency, which has lasted for over 40 years and resulted in more than 40,000 deaths. The visit is seen as a pivotal moment in Turkey's approach to addressing long-standing ethnic tensions and could signal a shift in the government's strategy regarding the Kurdish issue.
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No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions imposed by EU • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Support from NATO allies • 25%
Kurdish militants gain more territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Kurdish militants lay down arms • 25%
Escalation of hostilities • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Joint action by Syria and Turkey • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Syria takes action independently • 25%
Turkey intervenes militarily • 25%
Continued operations • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased international tension • 25%
Increased militant activity • 25%
Militants seek negotiations • 25%
Militants relocate • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other development • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%