Loading...
Market
What will be the Supreme Court's decision on the TikTok ban law by Jan 10, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Supreme Court ruling available through official court announcements
Story
Trump Urges Supreme Court to Pause TikTok Ban Law Until Jan. 20 Inauguration for Political Resolution
Dec 27, 2024, 10:13 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has urged the U.S. Supreme Court to pause a law, the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, that would ban the TikTok social media platform on Jan. 19, unless it is sold by its Chinese parent company, ByteDance. Trump's request comes in an amicus brief filed with the court, where he argues for time to pursue a political resolution to the dispute after his inauguration on Jan. 20. The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear arguments on the case on Jan. 10. The law was passed by Congress and signed by President Joe Biden, requiring ByteDance to divest TikTok or face a ban in the U.S. Trump's filing does not address the constitutionality of the law but emphasizes his ability to negotiate a solution.
View original story
Similar markets
Remand to Lower Court • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Delay Ban • 25%
Enforce Ban • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban paused • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Case dismissed • 34%
Delay denied • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Delay denied • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
No action taken • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Injunction granted • 25%
Injunction denied • 25%
Other outcome • 25%