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What will be the Supreme Court's decision on TikTok ban delay after January 10, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Delay granted • 33%
Delay denied • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
Official Supreme Court ruling and announcements
Story
U.S. DOJ Urges Supreme Court to Reject Trump's Request to Delay TikTok Ban by ByteDance on January 19
Jan 4, 2025, 03:33 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice has urged the Supreme Court to reject President-elect Donald Trump's request to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. or force its sale by its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, by January 19. The law, passed in April, requires ByteDance to divest TikTok's U.S. assets or face a ban. Trump, who previously attempted to ban TikTok during his first term, now seeks a delay to allow his incoming administration to pursue a 'political resolution' to the issue. The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear arguments on the case on January 10. TikTok has argued that the law violates the First Amendment, while the U.S. government maintains that the platform poses a national security risk due to its Chinese ownership and its 170 million U.S. users. In a brief written by Trump's pick for solicitor general, Trump called the First Amendment implications of a TikTok ban 'sweeping and troubling.'
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Other Outcome • 25%
Delay Ban • 25%
Enforce Ban • 25%
Remand to Lower Court • 25%
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Delay denied • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
No decision • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban paused • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Case dismissed • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
No decision • 25%