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Market
Will Ukraine achieve a diplomatic resolution with Russia by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian or Russian governments, or credible international news sources
Story
Zelensky Expects Ukraine War to End Faster Under Trump, Seeks Diplomatic End in 2025
Nov 16, 2024, 12:27 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that he believes the war with Russia will end sooner with Donald Trump as the President of the United States. In an interview with Ukrainian media outlet Suspilne, Zelensky expressed optimism that the policies of the upcoming Trump administration would expedite the end of the conflict. He emphasized the importance of achieving a just peace through diplomatic means and noted that his conversations with Trump have been constructive, with Trump hearing Ukraine's position and not opposing it. Zelensky stressed that Ukraine must do everything possible to ensure the war ends next year, in 2025, through diplomacy.
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No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement • 33%
Ceasefire • 33%
No Agreement • 33%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
