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Market
Will the U.S. provide security guarantees to Ukraine by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. government or defense agreements
Story
Zelensky Optimistic Trump's Strength Can Broker Peace Talks to End Ukraine War
Jan 7, 2025, 05:52 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed optimism that a “strong” Donald Trump could broker peace talks with Russia and end the war in Ukraine. In interviews, Zelensky stated that Trump's strength and unpredictability could be decisive in forcing Russia into negotiations. He also emphasized that security guarantees from the U.S. are crucial for any ceasefire agreement with Russia, warning that without them, Trump would be 'giving Putin a pass.' Zelensky's comments come as Trump prepares to return to the White House, with the Ukrainian leader expressing confidence that Trump will bring a quick end to the conflict.
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Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
Economic aid • 25%
Diplomatic assurances • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Military support • 25%
Full security guarantees provided • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Partial security guarantees provided • 25%
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Yes • 50%
NATO • 25%
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European Union • 25%
Other • 25%