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Market
How will the Ukraine conflict be resolved in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports confirming the resolution
Story
Trump Says Meetings with Putin and Xi Being Arranged to End Ukraine War
Jan 10, 2025, 04:06 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced that meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping are being arranged, stating that Putin wants to meet and that preparations are underway. Speaking on Thursday at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida before a meeting with Republican governors, Trump said, "He wants to meet, and we're setting it up." Trump emphasized the need to end the war in Ukraine, calling it "a bloody mess," and suggested that more people are dying than is being reported. The meetings aim to address the ongoing conflict and improve U.S.-Russia relations.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%