Loading...
Market
What will be the resolution of the captive exchange deal between Hamas and Israel by the end of 2024?
3
Hamas•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Palestinian movement•Middle East Eye•Netanyahu•Joe Biden•Osama Hamdan•Ahmad Abdulhadi•Biden•UN Security Council•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Completed successfully • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
Not completed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Official statements from Hamas, the Israeli government, and international news agencies
Story
Hamas Rejects Netanyahu's Conditions in Ceasefire Talks, Stalling Biden's Proposal: Middle East Eye Reports
Aug 18, 2024, 06:59 AM
Hamas has rejected conditions proposed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as part of a ceasefire and captive exchange deal, according to sources within the Palestinian movement and reported by Middle East Eye. The Israeli delegation's primary efforts were reportedly focused on incorporating Netanyahu's conditions into a proposal by U.S. President Joe Biden. Hamas officials, including Osama Hamdan and Ahmad Abdulhadi, have stated that Netanyahu is the main obstacle to reaching an agreement, with accusations that he is complicating the ceasefire process. Hamas had accepted Biden's previous proposal and the UN Security Council decision, but Netanyahu's refusal to agree has stalled negotiations. Netanyahu, on the other hand, claims that Hamas has not sent a delegation to the talks and insists that pressure should be directed at Hamas rather than Israel.
View original story
Similar markets
Cease-fire agreement reached and hostages released • 25%
Cease-fire agreement reached but hostages not released • 25%
No cease-fire agreement but hostages released • 25%
No cease-fire agreement and hostages not released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostages killed • 25%
Successful deal with all hostages released • 25%
Partial deal with some hostages released • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Hostage deal reached with six-week withdrawal • 25%
Hostage deal reached without withdrawal • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Deal reached with all terms met • 25%
Partial deal reached • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Deal negotiations ongoing • 25%
Complete ceasefire achieved • 25%
Partial ceasefire with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Truce breakdown and resumed full-scale conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hostages released • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostages killed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Release of all 33 living hostages • 25%
Release of some hostages • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%