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What will be the primary reason for any significant Hezbollah attack on Israel by end of 2024?
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Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Israel•Gaza•United States•Nasrallah•Gaza ceasefire•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Fuad Shukr
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliation for Israeli actions • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Influence from external parties • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements
Story
Nasrallah: Hezbollah Delays Attack Amid Gaza Talks and Military Mobilization
Aug 25, 2024, 03:20 PM
Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has revealed that the group's recent retaliatory attack against Israel was intentionally delayed. The decision was influenced by multiple factors, including ongoing ceasefire negotiations in Gaza and significant military mobilization by both Israel and the United States. Nasrallah stated that the delay was aimed at giving the Gaza ceasefire talks a chance, despite new conditions put forward by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The group's actions were also intended to keep Israel on edge. The response delay was also due to political reasons following the assassination of Fuad Shukr.
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Similar markets
Territorial Disputes • 25%
Political Disagreements • 25%
Religious Tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful interception by Israel • 25%
Partial damage • 25%
Significant damage • 25%
No attack • 25%
Another assassination attempt • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No major action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military defeat by Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Internal political changes in Lebanon • 25%
Continued attacks • 25%