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What will be the primary reason cited for the IDF's evacuation orders in central Gaza by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas rocket fire • 25%
Preparation for ground operation • 25%
Humanitarian concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and credible news reports
Story
IDF Orders Gaza Evacuations After Airstrikes Kill 17 Palestinians Amid Doha Talks
Aug 17, 2024, 11:00 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have issued new evacuation orders for central Gaza amid escalating tensions and ongoing military operations. This follows an Israeli airstrike on the town of Zawayda in central Gaza, which resulted in the deaths of at least 17 Palestinians and left dozens more wounded, according to health officials. Earlier reports indicated 15 Palestinians were killed on Saturday morning. The Israeli military cited nearby Hamas rocket fire as a reason for the evacuation orders. The situation unfolds as the second day of Doha talks is set to begin, with the IDF preparing for a fresh operation.
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Complete evacuation • 25%
Partial evacuation • 25%
No evacuation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN Condemnation • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
US Diplomatic Pressure • 25%
Arab League Military Support • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by both • 25%
No significant condemnation • 25%
Targeting Hamas leadership • 25%
Destroying tunnels and infrastructure • 25%
Securing border areas • 25%
Other • 25%
Storm damage • 25%
Cost overruns • 25%
Operational challenges • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground operation • 25%
Drone operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Recovery of more hostages • 25%
Major military offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Intelligence gathering operations • 25%