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What will be the outcome of the IDF's call for evacuations in Khan Younis by September 30, 2024?
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Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Rafah•Philadelphi Corridor•Egypt•Israel•Gaza Strip•Israeli military•Khan Younis
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete evacuation • 25%
Partial evacuation • 25%
No evacuation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements from the IDF
Story
IDF Discovers 3-Meter-High Smuggling Tunnel in Rafah on Egypt-Gaza Border
Aug 4, 2024, 12:28 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have discovered a massive 3-meter-high smuggling tunnel on the Egypt-Gaza border. The tunnel, which is large enough to accommodate vehicles, was found beneath a mosque in Rafah and runs under the Philadelphi Corridor into Egypt. The IDF has confirmed plans to destroy the tunnel. Egypt has denied knowledge of the tunnel, despite accusations that it was aware of and possibly complicit in the smuggling of weapons and rockets. The discovery follows a series of recent rocket attacks on Israel from the southern Gaza Strip, prompting the Israeli military to call for evacuations in certain neighborhoods of Khan Younis.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
IDF declares mission accomplished • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Operation is prolonged beyond August • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF withdraws • 25%
IDF maintains presence • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
US Diplomatic Pressure • 25%
Arab League Military Support • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hamas leadership captured • 25%
Significant reduction in terrorist activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased conflict and casualties • 25%
Hamas rocket fire • 25%
Preparation for ground operation • 25%
Humanitarian concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Complete control of Khan Younis • 25%
Partial control of Khan Younis • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Retreat • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 20,000 • 25%
20,000 to 30,000 • 25%
More than 30,000 • 25%