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What will be the primary reason cited by Israel for any future military action by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Self-defense against Iran • 25%
Retaliation for attacks • 25%
Preemptive strike • 25%
Other security concerns • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or major international news outlets
Story
Biden Warns Netanyahu Against Further Escalation, Offers Support Against Iran in Thursday Call
Aug 2, 2024, 04:43 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden had a heated call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday, during which he stated that the U.S. would help Israel repel an Iranian attack. However, Biden warned Netanyahu that if he escalates the situation again, he should not expect U.S. assistance. Biden emphasized the need for an immediate ceasefire and movement towards a hostage deal. Netanyahu expressed appreciation for American support but reiterated that his actions are based solely on Israel's security needs. The call was reported by Axios and highlighted the ongoing tensions in the region.
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Defense against imminent threat • 25%
Preemptive strike • 25%
Retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Yemen • 25%
Syria • 25%
Iranian military bases • 25%
Iranian missile sites • 25%
Iranian command centers • 25%
Other • 25%
Risk of regional war • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Economic concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Iranian Military Bases • 25%
Iranian Naval Assets • 25%
Islamic Revolutionary Guard • 25%
No Military Response • 25%
Retaliation for Israeli actions • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Influence from external parties • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Criticism of the UN • 25%
Human rights issues • 25%
Political tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear threat • 25%
Oil facilities • 25%
Terrorism support • 25%
Other • 25%
Beirut • 25%
Southern suburbs • 25%
Military targets in Lebanon • 25%
Other • 25%
Leak of U.S. documents • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military readiness concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Gaza • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
Lebanese government facilities • 25%
Iranian assets in Lebanon • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Syria • 25%
Gaza • 25%
Lebanon • 25%