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Main cause of Israeli military action against Iran by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nuclear threat • 25%
Oil facilities • 25%
Terrorism support • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible reports from international news agencies
Story
Oil Prices Rise Over 2% as Biden Urges Israel Not to Attack Iran's Nuclear and Oil Sites; Netanyahu Responds
Oct 10, 2024, 12:50 PM
Based on reports from Channel 14 Israel, U.S. President Joe Biden has urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to attack Iran's nuclear or oil facilities. Netanyahu reportedly responded by calling it a "historic opportunity." Following these reports, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices rose over 2% to $74.28.
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Air strikes • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Homes of senior Iranian officials • 25%
Oil facilities • 25%
Military bases • 25%
Nuclear sites • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Defense against imminent threat • 25%
Preemptive strike • 25%
Retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant financial damage to Iran • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
