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What will be identified as the primary reason for Israel's delay in military action against Iran by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Leak of U.S. documents • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military readiness concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Analysis from credible news agencies or official statements from Israeli government
Story
Israel Delays Strike on Iran After Leak of U.S. Pentagon Documents, The Times Reports
Oct 24, 2024, 11:19 AM
Israel has delayed its planned retaliatory strike against Iran following the leak of highly classified U.S. military documents, according to reports by The Times. The leaked documents, dated October 15 and 16, were published on a pro-Iranian Telegram channel last Friday and are believed to include a U.S. assessment of Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) strike plans. Israeli officials are concerned that the disclosure of sensitive information could help Iran anticipate certain patterns of attack, necessitating a revision of their strategies and development of an alternative plan. The postponement aims to ensure operational security and effectiveness in response to Tehran's missile attack.
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Self-defense against Iran • 25%
Retaliation for attacks • 25%
Preemptive strike • 25%
Other security concerns • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Economic factors • 25%
Other • 25%
Military strike • 33%
Diplomatic engagement • 33%
No action • 34%
Risk of regional war • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
Economic concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Defense against imminent threat • 25%
Preemptive strike • 25%
Retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
Military strike on Iranian military targets • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with Iran • 25%
Increased sanctions or economic measures against Iran • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Netanyahu remains PM • 33%
New PM before action • 33%
No action taken • 34%
Nuclear threat • 25%
Oil facilities • 25%
Terrorism support • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in military readiness • 25%
Decrease in military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful international sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military tensions with Iran • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%