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What will be the primary method Ukraine uses to pressure Moscow into negotiations by December 31, 2024?
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Ukraine•Western•United States•Storm Shadow missiles•Russian•Russia•Kursk•Kyiv•Ukrainian•Moscow•The Guardian•Independence Day
Resolution / Starting Odds
Long-range missile strikes • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Verified reports from major news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian or Russian governments
Story
Ukraine Urges West to Lift Restrictions on Storm Shadow Missiles Amid Kursk Offensive
Aug 24, 2024, 08:46 PM
Ukraine is urging Western allies, particularly the United States, to lift restrictions on the use of long-range weapons, such as the Storm Shadow missiles, against Russian targets deep within Russia. This request follows Ukraine's recent offensive in the Kursk region, which Kyiv claims demonstrates the possibility of crossing Russia's so-called 'red lines' without significant repercussions. Ukrainian officials believe that enabling these strikes could pressure Moscow into negotiating an end to the conflict. The Guardian reports that Kyiv has asked for a 'demonstration strike' with these missiles. The push for lifting restrictions comes amid Ukraine's Independence Day celebrations and is part of a broader strategy to regain the initiative in the ongoing war.
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Airstrikes • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Other • 25%
Military victory • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Russia attacks Kyiv non-nuclearly • 25%
Russia does not attack Kyiv • 25%
Russia attacks another Ukrainian city • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Russian withdrawal to February 2022 positions • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Conflict freeze without withdrawal • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
Aligns with Russia • 25%
Continues current stance • 25%
Negotiates a compromise • 25%
Other • 25%
Request for more international aid • 25%
Initiate new peace talks • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
Other diplomatic measures • 25%
Military infrastructure • 25%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Cyber assets • 25%
Diplomatic entities • 25%
Missile Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Increased Air Raids • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete Russian troop withdrawal • 25%
Security guarantees from NATO • 25%
Economic aid package • 25%
Other • 25%