Loading...
Market
What will be the primary consequence for Ukraine due to Nord Stream sabotage by Dec 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic isolation • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
Official announcements from relevant governments or credible news sources
Story
Zelensky's Role in Nord Stream Sabotage Strains Ukraine-Germany Relations
Aug 15, 2024, 01:44 AM
Recent revelations suggest that Ukraine was behind the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline. According to reports, the operation was funded by private businessmen and overseen by a top general, Zaluzhniy. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky initially approved the plan but later attempted to halt it after the CIA became aware of the operation. Despite his efforts, the plan proceeded, leading to tensions between Germany and Ukraine. The incident involved a rented yacht and was characterized as a defiant act of sabotage. The pipeline was a multi-billion dollar Russian-owned asset.
View original story
Similar markets
Majority believe Ukraine responsible • 25%
Majority believe Russia responsible • 25%
Majority believe another entity responsible • 25%
Majority believe no conclusive evidence • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant reduction in strikes • 25%
Moderate reduction in strikes • 25%
No change in strike frequency • 25%
Increase in strikes • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Critical damage • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Infrastructure damage • 25%
Military casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military infrastructure • 25%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Cyber assets • 25%
Diplomatic entities • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Stronger support • 25%
Weaker support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Sanctions or punitive actions • 25%
Significant damage with major outages • 25%
Moderate damage with some outages • 25%
Minor damage with minimal outages • 25%
No significant damage • 25%