Loading...
Market
What will be the primary method of conflict resolution between Ukraine and Russia by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military victory • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Ukraine and Russia, and verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Launches Major Incursion into Russia's Kursk Region, Russia Declares Counter-Terrorism Regime
Aug 9, 2024, 10:06 PM
Ukrainian forces have launched a significant cross-border incursion into Russia's Kursk region, marking one of the largest such offensives by Kyiv during the ongoing conflict. The incursion, which has reached 10 kilometers into Russian territory, has prompted Moscow to call in reserves and declare a counter-terrorism regime in the Kursk, Belgorod, and Bryansk regions. This regime, akin to martial law, reflects the seriousness of the situation as Ukrainian troops continue to advance, taking control of 430 square kilometers of Russian territory over four days. The offensive, which began as a surprise attack on the world's biggest nuclear power, has seen Russian forces battling Ukrainian troops for a third day. In response, Russia has moved additional tanks, artillery, and rocket systems to the southern Kursk region to counter the Ukrainian advance.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Ceasefire agreed upon • 25%
Conflict intensifies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status Quo (No significant change) • 25%
Ukraine gains significant ground • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Ceasefire/Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Formal peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict with no resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement in place • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Significant escalation in conflict • 25%
De-escalation and peace talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Russia gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Major escalation involving NATO • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%