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What will be the primary cause of the next major conflict between Hezbollah and Israel?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Territorial Dispute • 25%
Retaliation for Airstrikes • 25%
Political Assassination • 25%
Other • 25%
News reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hezbollah Leader Hassan Nasrallah's Body Recovered in Haret Hreik After Israeli Airstrike
Sep 29, 2024, 11:36 AM
The body of Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has been recovered from the site of an Israeli air attack in Beirut's southern suburbs, specifically in the Haret Hreik district. According to medical and security sources cited by Reuters, Nasrallah's body was found intact with no direct wounds, suggesting his death was caused by severe shock from the explosion. The airstrike, which occurred a day and a half ago, targeted an underground bunker 40 meters deep where Nasrallah was located. The recovery of his body was confirmed by multiple sources, including Lebanese security officials.
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Territorial disputes • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Territorial Disputes • 25%
Political Disagreements • 25%
Religious Tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Significant Territorial Changes • 25%
International Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah strikes Tel Aviv • 25%
Israel conducts more airstrikes on Beirut • 25%
Both occur • 25%
Neither occurs • 25%
Retaliation for Israeli actions • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Influence from external parties • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Increased aerial bombardments • 25%
Ground offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile attack by Hezbollah • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Ground incursion by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire violation • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Border infiltration • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah missile attack • 25%
Israeli airstrike • 25%
Ground skirmish • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah strike on Tel Aviv • 25%
Israeli ground incursion into Lebanon • 25%
Clashes at the border • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Hezbollah missile attack • 25%
Israeli airstrike • 25%
Ground skirmish • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Another assassination attempt • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Another drone attack • 25%
Rocket attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No major action • 25%