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What will be the outcome of Zelenskyy's NATO discussion with Biden by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal NATO invitation extended • 25%
Commitment to future invitation • 25%
No change in NATO status • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian or U.S. governments
Story
Zelenskyy to Discuss NATO Membership with Biden, Considers Macron's Proposal for Foreign Troops
Dec 9, 2024, 12:06 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is set to discuss Ukraine's NATO membership with U.S. President Joe Biden in the near future. Zelenskyy has expressed his intention to raise the issue of an invitation to NATO, emphasizing the urgency of ending the ongoing conflict with Russia through diplomatic means. Additionally, Zelenskyy has indicated that Ukraine might consider French President Emmanuel Macron's proposal to deploy foreign troops as a temporary security measure until Ukraine's NATO membership is secured. This proposal comes as part of broader discussions on security guarantees for Ukraine, with Zelenskyy suggesting that such measures could be a viable option if NATO membership is not immediately forthcoming.
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Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No, not discussed • 25%
Yes, with conditions • 25%
No, postponed • 25%
Yes, without conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Full Member • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
