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What will be the outcome of Western intelligence chiefs' visit to Azerbaijan by Dec 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
New intelligence-sharing agreements • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements and news reports from reputable sources
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Western Intelligence Chiefs Arrive in Azerbaijan Amid IS Clashes, 8 Soldiers Affected
Sep 19, 2024, 09:57 PM
Western intelligence chiefs have arrived in Azerbaijan amid recent clashes between Azerbaijani security forces and Islamic State (IS) militants in the Qusar district, near the border with Russia. The confrontations, which occurred on September 14, resulted in the deaths and injuries of at least eight Azerbaijani policemen and soldiers. This marks the first officially claimed IS operations in Azerbaijan, although the group has previously shown photos of its members in the country. The militants reportedly used AK-74 rifles, AKM rifles, Bulgarian Dunarit RGD-5 grenades, and shotguns during the attack. The incident was reported in the latest issue of Al-Naba weekly.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No casualties • 25%
1-5 casualties • 25%
6-10 casualties • 25%
More than 10 casualties • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage release-for-ceasefire deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
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Security agreement reached • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
Increased cybersecurity aid to Georgia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military presence in Qusar • 25%
New counter-terrorism laws • 25%
International diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Severed Diplomatic Ties • 25%
Successful negotiations • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with new agreements • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Further deterioration in relations • 25%
Relations severed • 25%
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
EU sanctions on Russia • 25%
No major international sanctions • 25%
Other significant action • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant actions • 25%