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What will be the outcome of the Mossad head's visit to Doha by July 31, 2024?
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Israel•Hezbollah•Tyre•Lebanon•Golan Heights•Hamas•Haniyeh•Qatari•Egyptian•Gaza•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Doha•Joe Biden•Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage release-for-ceasefire deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC
Story
Israel Kills Senior Hezbollah Commanders as Rocket and Drone Attacks Escalate, Hamas Engages in Ceasefire Talks
Jul 4, 2024, 05:17 PM
In a significant escalation of regional tensions, Israel has killed two senior Hezbollah commanders within two weeks, including a recent airstrike in Tyre, Lebanon. In retaliation, Hezbollah launched a major rocket and drone attack on Israel, firing approximately 220 projectiles, causing fires and damage in northern Israel, including the Golan Heights. Amid these hostilities, Hamas leader Haniyeh has engaged in discussions with Qatari and Egyptian mediators to end the war in Gaza. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized negotiators to participate in detailed ceasefire talks with Hamas, which could potentially result in a hostage release-for-ceasefire deal. The head of Mossad will travel to Doha on Friday to continue negotiations. U.S. President Joe Biden and Netanyahu have also discussed the ceasefire efforts, with the U.S. expressing optimism about a significant breakthrough in the negotiations.
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Successful negotiations • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Qatar ceases all support for Hamas • 25%
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Closes Hamas office • 25%
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