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What will be the outcome of U.S.-China talks on cyberattacks by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. Department of State or Chinese government
Story
Biden Administration, NSA Address Chinese Cyberattacks on U.S. Telecoms
Oct 14, 2024, 01:17 AM
The Biden administration this week established a multi-agency team to address a growing crisis involving Chinese cyberattacks on U.S. telecommunications companies, believed to be for intelligence gathering. The National Security Agency (NSA) is among the federal agencies working to understand more about the China-linked hack.
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Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations broken down • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
New tariffs agreed • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Joint statement condemning cyber activities • 25%
No significant public outcome • 25%
Announcement of new cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
New trade deal reached • 25%
Trade negotiations stall • 25%
Trade war escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%