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What will be the outcome of Ukrainian control in Kursk region by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine maintains control of all 28 settlements • 25%
Ukraine maintains control of some settlements • 25%
Russia reclaims all settlements • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian or Russian authorities
Story
Ukrainian Forces Control 28 Settlements, 480 Sq Km in Russia's Kursk Region; Population Fleeing
Aug 12, 2024, 12:41 PM
The acting governor of Russia's Kursk region, Alexei Smirnov, reported to President Vladimir Putin that Ukrainian forces have taken control of 28 settlements in the region. The area under Ukrainian control spans 480 square kilometers with a penetration depth of 12 kilometers and a frontline width of 40 kilometers. This situation has led to significant disruption, with regional authorities uncertain about the fate of approximately 2,000 residents in these settlements. The incursion has prompted a sixth of the region's population to flee. During a meeting, President Putin interrupted Smirnov, instructing him not to mention specific numbers.
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Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine controls more territory • 25%
Ukraine controls the same territory • 25%
Ukraine controls less territory • 25%
Ukraine loses all controlled territory • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
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Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
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Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
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