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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's military operation in the Kursk region by the end of 2024?
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Ukrainian•Kursk•Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•United States•United Kingdom•Polish•Russian•UK•Germany
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant territorial gain by Ukraine • 25%
Minor territorial gain by Ukraine • 25%
No territorial gain by Ukraine • 25%
Territorial loss by Ukraine • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Ukraine's Kursk Operation Involves 20 Units, Russia Alleges Foreign Aid
Aug 20, 2024, 09:15 PM
Elements of at least 20 Ukrainian military units are reportedly involved in an operation in the Kursk region. According to Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service, the operation was prepared with the participation of the United States, United Kingdom, and Polish intelligence services. The Russian agency claims that the units involved underwent combat coordination in training centers in the UK and Germany. However, these assertions were made without providing evidence.
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Buffer zone established • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial gains • 25%
No territorial gains • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial gains • 25%
No change • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine captures significant territory • 25%
Russia repels all attacks • 25%
Stalemate with minor territorial changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant gains • 25%
Minor gains • 25%
No change • 25%
Losses • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Complete Ukrainian control • 25%
Partial Ukrainian control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Complete Russian control • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine retains control of captured territories • 25%
Russia reclaims all territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%