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What will be the outcome of Ukrainian control in Kursk by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine controls more territory • 25%
Ukraine controls the same territory • 25%
Ukraine controls less territory • 25%
Ukraine loses all controlled territory • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian or Russian government, corroborated by independent news sources
Story
Ukraine Controls 1,250 km² and 92 Settlements in Russia's Kursk Region
Aug 19, 2024, 05:30 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has announced that Ukrainian forces currently control over 1,250 square kilometers of territory and 92 settlements in the Kursk region of Russia. Zelensky stated that this operation marks a significant development in the ongoing conflict, highlighting the crumbling of Russia's so-called red lines. He also mentioned that the operation in the Kursk region represents the largest investment in the process of exchange.
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Ukraine maintains control of all 28 settlements • 25%
Ukraine maintains control of some settlements • 25%
Russia reclaims all settlements • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
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Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Buffer zone established • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
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Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
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Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukrainian forces take additional territory • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold current territory • 25%
Russian forces reclaim some territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
