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What will be the outcome of UK-China diplomatic relations by the end of 2024?
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Britain•China•Ministry of Defence•Grant Shapps•Labour Party•Denis MacShane•Conservative•Philip Davies•UK•Rishi Sunak
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 34%
Worsened relations • 33%
Diplomatic announcements or credible international relations analyses
Story
UK Raises Cybersecurity Concerns, Suspects China in Defence Hack
May 7, 2024, 08:29 AM
Following a recent cybersecurity breach, concerns have been raised about Britain's ties to China. The Ministry of Defence confirmed that its armed forces payroll system was hacked, and although the government, represented by Minister Grant Shapps, has not officially named a perpetrator today, there is strong suspicion that China was responsible. Former Labour Party MP Denis MacShane and Conservative MP Sir Philip Davies have both expressed concerns about the implications of this incident. In response to the hack, the UK government has emphasized its vigilance in cybersecurity, warning of the dangers posed by cyber-espionage from hostile states. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is facing pressure to officially label China as a threat.
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Relations remain stable • 25%
Relations slightly deteriorate • 25%
Relations significantly deteriorate • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Significant escalation • 25%
Minor escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Improved relations • 33%
Worsened relations • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Deterioration of diplomatic relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Strengthening of diplomatic relations • 25%
New agreements signed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severely deteriorated relations • 25%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Improvement • 33%
No change • 33%
Deterioration • 33%
Increase in sanctions • 25%
Increase in diplomacy • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Decrease in sanctions • 25%
Deterioration with the US • 25%
Deterioration with the EU • 25%
Strengthening with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%