Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of Trump's actions on the Hunter Biden investigation by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No impact • 25%
Investigation accelerated • 25%
Investigation delayed • 25%
Investigation closed • 25%
Updates or conclusions of the Hunter Biden investigation
Story
Trump to Suspend Security Clearances of 51 Intelligence Officials on Day 1, Aiming to Reform Agencies
Jan 19, 2025, 11:42 PM
President-elect Donald Trump plans to suspend the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who claimed that reporting on Hunter Biden's laptop had 'the classic earmarks' of Russian disinformation ahead of the 2020 presidential election. This action is part of a series of over 200 executive orders Trump is expected to sign on his first day back in the Oval Office, according to Fox News. The move targets the officials, referred to as the 'Spies Who Lie,' and is part of Trump's broader efforts to reform the federal intelligence agencies. The laptop, which was confirmed authentic by federal authorities, was at the center of controversy due to its contents, which included allegations of foreign influence-peddling and other activities by Hunter Biden.
View original story
Similar markets
No investigation • 25%
Investigation with no charges • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Investigation leading to charges • 25%
No charges • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Gun charges • 25%
Tax charges • 25%
Uncertain impact • 25%
Major impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
No significant revelations • 25%
Testimony not given • 25%
Revelations implicating Joe Biden • 25%
Revelations implicating others • 25%
Republicans decrease criticism • 25%
Republicans increase criticism • 25%
Democrats criticize the decision • 25%
Democrats support the decision • 25%
Widely criticized • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal attention • 25%
Widely supported • 25%
Uncertain impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Perjury charges • 25%
Contempt charges • 25%
No further legal actions • 25%
No impact • 25%
Leads to impeachment proceedings • 25%
Other significant impact • 25%
Delays policy initiatives • 25%