Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's Russia-Ukraine diplomacy by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Ukraine•Barak Ravid•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kurt Volker•NATO•Mark Rutte•Putin•United States•America
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government, Ukrainian government, or verified reports from major news outlets
Story
Trump Assures Zelenskyy in Wednesday Call, Seeks Diplomatic Resolution with Putin
Nov 10, 2024, 06:48 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has assured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a Wednesday call that he will not abandon Ukraine, emphasizing his desire to give diplomacy a chance, according to Barak Ravid. In one of his first calls after the election, Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, expressing his intention to restore diplomatic relations and end the war in Ukraine. Trump aims to seek a quick deal to resolve the Russia-Ukraine conflict, as noted by U.S. diplomat Kurt Volker. However, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte warned that if Trump allows Putin to win in Ukraine, he will personally expel the United States from the alliance. Additionally, NATO's top military official cautioned that Trump’s actions could harm America if he permits a Russian victory in Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No progress made • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Complete resolution • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Full peace agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement, no territorial changes • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Plan fully implemented • 25%
Plan partially implemented • 25%
Plan rejected • 25%
Plan abandoned • 25%
Deal reached • 25%
No deal, increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%