Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's demand for hostage release by Hamas?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostages Released • 25%
Military Action Initiated • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Trump Demands Hamas Release American Hostages in RNC Speech
Jul 19, 2024, 02:21 AM
Former U.S. President Donald J. Trump issued a stern warning to Hamas during his RNC speech in Milwaukee, demanding the release of American hostages held in the Gaza Strip. Trump emphasized that the hostages must be returned before he assumes office, or Hamas will face severe consequences. This strong stance contrasts sharply with the Biden administration's approach, which has been criticized for being less assertive. The Biden administration has blamed Hamas for delaying a deal to release the hostages, and there are reports that Israeli official Itamar Ben-Gvir suggested delaying a ceasefire agreement to impact Biden's reelection chances. The situation remains tense, with over 30 Americans having been killed by Hamas on October 7.
View original story
Similar markets
Hostages released • 25%
Deal brokered but hostages not released • 25%
No deal or release • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Support Trump's demands • 25%
Condemn Trump's demands • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
No action • 25%
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11 or more • 25%