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What will be the outcome of Trump's ultimatum to Hamas by January 20, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Hamas•Trump•Israel•Adam Boehler•Hostage Affairs•Fox•Biden•Middle East•Gaza•Office•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of 'Hell to Pay' if Hostages Not Released Before Inauguration
Dec 9, 2024, 08:44 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a strong ultimatum regarding the release of hostages held by Hamas, stating that there would be severe consequences if they are not freed before his inauguration on January 20, 2025. Trump's comments have intensified discussions and negotiations between Israel and Hamas, with reports suggesting that Hamas feels the pressure. Adam Boehler, nominated for Hostage Affairs, emphasized on Fox that the Biden administration's lack of cooperation with Israel from the outset could have prevented the hostage situation. Trump's envoy to the Middle East has also warned that the day of inauguration would be 'not pretty' if the hostages remain in captivity, and expressed hope for a ceasefire in Gaza before the inauguration. Trump's exact words were, 'If the hostages are not released prior to January 20, 2025, the date that I proudly assume Office as President of the United States, there will be ALL HELL TO PAY in the Middle East. RELEASE THE HOSTAGES NOW!'
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Similar markets
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's warning • 25%
Support for Trump's warning • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Condemnation of Trump's stance • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support Trump's demands • 25%
Condemn Trump's demands • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Support Trump's stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose Trump's stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Two-state solution • 25%
One-state solution • 25%
Ceasefire without solution • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire without peace agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israel meets demands, no aid suspension • 25%
Israel does not meet demands, aid suspended • 25%
Partial compliance, no aid suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%