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Who will be credited with the release of American hostages by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden Administration • 25%
Trump Administration • 25%
Israeli Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Trump Demands Hamas Release American Hostages in RNC Speech
Jul 19, 2024, 02:21 AM
Former U.S. President Donald J. Trump issued a stern warning to Hamas during his RNC speech in Milwaukee, demanding the release of American hostages held in the Gaza Strip. Trump emphasized that the hostages must be returned before he assumes office, or Hamas will face severe consequences. This strong stance contrasts sharply with the Biden administration's approach, which has been criticized for being less assertive. The Biden administration has blamed Hamas for delaying a deal to release the hostages, and there are reports that Israeli official Itamar Ben-Gvir suggested delaying a ceasefire agreement to impact Biden's reelection chances. The situation remains tense, with over 30 Americans having been killed by Hamas on October 7.
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Turkey • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Senator Markwayne Mullin • 25%
Senator Rick Scott • 25%
Governor Ron DeSantis • 25%
Cord Byrd • 25%
Partial release • 33%
No release • 34%
All hostages released • 33%
Some hostages released • 33%
No hostages released • 33%
U.S. Government • 25%
Hamas • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
President Joe Biden • 25%
Secretary of State • 25%
National Security Advisor • 25%
Other official • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostages killed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
US alone • 25%
Israel alone • 25%
US and Israel jointly • 25%
Other international coalition • 25%