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What will be the outcome of Trump's challenge to birthright citizenship by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Gallup•Americans•Trump•American•Tom Homan•Heritage Foundation•Congress•America•Alien Enemies Act
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully challenged • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news outlets
Story
Trump to Launch Largest Deportation Program, Resume Border Wall Construction Amid High Public Confidence
Jan 3, 2025, 06:14 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is poised to implement sweeping changes to the U.S. immigration system as he prepares to take office. A Gallup poll indicates that 68% of Americans believe Trump will succeed in controlling illegal immigration, marking a nine-point increase in confidence since 2016. Trump has promised to launch the largest deportation program in American history and has appointed former acting ICE Director Tom Homan as border czar. The Heritage Foundation has outlined a roadmap for Congress to overhaul the immigration system, prioritizing America first and legal immigrants second. Trump's plans include using the Alien Enemies Act to remove suspected gang members, drug dealers, or cartel members, resuming construction of the border wall, and potentially challenging birthright citizenship. These actions are expected to face legal challenges and could significantly alter the U.S. immigration landscape.
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No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
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Blocked by Congress • 25%
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Blocked by Courts • 25%
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Policy change not pursued • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
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No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
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Congressional amendment • 25%
Executive order issued but struck down • 25%
No executive order issued • 25%
Constitutional amendment proposed • 25%
Executive order issued and upheld • 25%
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Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
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Overturned by Congress • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented via executive order • 25%
Implemented via new legislation • 25%
No change to birthright citizenship • 25%
Overturned • 33%
No decision • 34%
Upheld • 33%