Loading...
Market
Will there be a legal challenge to Trump's use of the Alien Enemies Act by end of 2025?
4
Donald Trump•Gallup•Americans•Trump•American•Tom Homan•Heritage Foundation•Congress•America•Alien Enemies Act
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or credible news outlets
Story
Trump to Launch Largest Deportation Program, Resume Border Wall Construction Amid High Public Confidence
Jan 3, 2025, 06:14 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is poised to implement sweeping changes to the U.S. immigration system as he prepares to take office. A Gallup poll indicates that 68% of Americans believe Trump will succeed in controlling illegal immigration, marking a nine-point increase in confidence since 2016. Trump has promised to launch the largest deportation program in American history and has appointed former acting ICE Director Tom Homan as border czar. The Heritage Foundation has outlined a roadmap for Congress to overhaul the immigration system, prioritizing America first and legal immigrants second. Trump's plans include using the Alien Enemies Act to remove suspected gang members, drug dealers, or cartel members, resuming construction of the border wall, and potentially challenging birthright citizenship. These actions are expected to face legal challenges and could significantly alter the U.S. immigration landscape.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pending decision • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
International legal dispute • 25%
Congressional investigation • 25%
Supreme Court case • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%