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What will be the legal outcome of Trump's birthright citizenship policy by 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
No change • 25%
Rulings from the Supreme Court or legislative actions
Story
Trump to End Birthright Citizenship, Issue 25 Executive Orders on Day One
Dec 11, 2024, 04:30 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced his intention to abolish birthright citizenship on his first day in office. This policy change, aimed at curbing illegal immigration, would involve amending the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. Trump's decision has sparked a debate among legal scholars regarding his authority to enact such a change. Additionally, Trump plans to issue more than 25 executive orders in his first hours as the 47th President of the United States, including measures to pardon those involved in the Capitol riot.
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Other outcome • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Partially Upheld • 25%
Struck Down • 25%
Upheld • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 25%
No decision • 34%
Overturned • 33%
Upheld • 33%
Successfully ended • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
No change • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented via executive order • 25%
Implemented via new legislation • 25%
No change to birthright citizenship • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned by Congress • 25%
Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
No executive order issued • 25%
Constitutional amendment proposed • 25%
Executive order issued and upheld • 25%
Executive order issued but struck down • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
Policy change not pursued • 25%
Policy change implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
14th Amendment Violation • 25%
Due Process Violation • 25%
Separation of Powers • 25%
Other Argument • 25%