Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship by the end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by Congress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings, legislative actions, and executive announcements
Story
Trump Plans Executive Order to End Birthright Citizenship, Citing 14th Amendment
Dec 8, 2024, 04:39 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his intention to end birthright citizenship, a policy that grants automatic U.S. citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil, regardless of their parents' immigration status. Trump's comments were made during an appearance on NBC's 'Meet the Press,' where he stated, 'We're the only country that has it. We're going to end that because it's ridiculous.' He plans to issue an executive order on Day One of his second term to enact this change, despite constitutional scholars arguing that the 14th Amendment, which was ratified in 1868 to extend citizenship to freed slaves, makes such a move nearly impossible. Trump's proposal has garnered support from figures like Senator Lindsey Graham, who believes the U.S. is one of a handful of countries with such a policy. Additionally, Trump has expressed willingness to work with Democrats on a plan to help 'Dreamers' stay in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
Executive order issued but struck down • 25%
No executive order issued • 25%
Executive order issued and upheld • 25%
Constitutional amendment proposed • 25%
Policy change not pursued • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy change implemented • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%
Implemented via new legislation • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
No change to birthright citizenship • 25%
Implemented via executive order • 25%
No change • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Struck down by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Successfully ended • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
No change • 25%
