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What will be the outcome of the U.S. demands for changes in Israeli military conduct by the end of 2024?
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Antony Blinken•Lloyd Austin•Israeli•Aysenur Ezgi Eygi•West Bank•Blinken•Austin•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Joe Biden•Israel•Eygi•Seattle•Kamala Harris
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel announces changes to IDF rules of engagement • 25%
Israel refuses to change IDF rules of engagement • 25%
Israel announces an internal review without changes • 25%
No official response from Israel • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. and Israeli governments, reported by major news outlets
Story
U.S. Demands Changes in Israeli Military Conduct After Fatal Shooting of 26-Year-Old Aysenur Eygi
Sep 11, 2024, 10:48 AM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin have called for significant changes in Israeli military conduct following the fatal shooting of 26-year-old American-Turkish activist Aysenur Ezgi Eygi in the West Bank. Blinken described the incident as 'unprovoked and unjustified,' emphasizing that no one should be killed for attending a protest. Austin expressed grave concern and urged a reexamination of the Israeli Defense Forces' (IDF) rules of engagement. President Joe Biden also condemned the shooting, calling it 'totally unacceptable' and demanding full accountability from Israel. Eygi, who was raised in Seattle, was killed during a protest against settlement expansion. Vice President Kamala Harris echoed these sentiments, calling the shooting unacceptable and raising questions about IDF conduct. The U.S. government is urging Israel to ensure such incidents do not happen again.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Israel fully complies • 25%
Israel partially complies • 25%
Israel does not comply • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Military Action • 25%
U.S. Provides Support Only • 25%
Israel Acts Unilaterally • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Widespread support for U.S. stance • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
Widespread criticism of U.S. stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic freeze • 25%
Israel meets demands, no aid suspension • 25%
Israel does not meet demands, aid suspended • 25%
Partial compliance, no aid suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Failed ceasefire • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Israel complies fully • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
No compliance • 25%
U.S. takes no action • 25%
US imposes embargo • 25%
Crisis resolved without embargo • 25%
US retracts ultimatum • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Fully Achieved • 25%
Partially Achieved • 25%
Not Achieved • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased arms shipments • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase aid trucks to 350 per day • 25%
Open a new fifth crossing • 25%
Implement additional humanitarian pauses • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%