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What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts to de-escalate Israel's tensions by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Failed ceasefire • 25%
Hostage deal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. Department of State or major international news outlets
Story
Biden Warns Netanyahu Against Further Escalation, Offers Support Against Iran in Thursday Call
Aug 2, 2024, 04:43 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden had a heated call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday, during which he stated that the U.S. would help Israel repel an Iranian attack. However, Biden warned Netanyahu that if he escalates the situation again, he should not expect U.S. assistance. Biden emphasized the need for an immediate ceasefire and movement towards a hostage deal. Netanyahu expressed appreciation for American support but reiterated that his actions are based solely on Israel's security needs. The call was reported by Axios and highlighted the ongoing tensions in the region.
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Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial de-escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Partial de-escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Ongoing tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant diplomatic progress • 25%