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What will be the outcome of the Syrian army's collapse in northeast Syria by June 30, 2025?
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Syrian army•Syria•Israeli•Israeli Cabinet•Israel•Netanyahu•Syrian•Assad•Washington•Islamic•Iran•Hezbollah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels gain control over northeast Syria • 25%
Syrian army regains control • 25%
Stalemate between rebels and Syrian army • 25%
Foreign intervention changes control dynamics • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Intelligence Identifies Rapid Collapse of Syrian Army's Defense Lines in Northeast Syria
Dec 5, 2024, 06:46 PM
Israeli intelligence officials have identified an unexpectedly rapid collapse of the Syrian army's defensive lines in battles with rebels in northeast Syria over the past 24 hours, according to two senior Israeli officials. This development has prompted an emergency discussion by the Israeli Cabinet on the situation in Syria, with concerns that rebels might seize weapons and pose threats to Israel. Prime Minister Netanyahu is currently holding discussions with security officials regarding these developments. The collapse of Syrian defenses is seen as a significant challenge to the Assad regime, the most severe in a decade, although a U.S. official stated that the Assad regime is not in immediate danger. Israel has expressed concerns to Washington about the potential for extremist Islamic elements to take control of Syria and has warned Iran against sending forces or transferring weapons that could reach Syria and Hezbollah.
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Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Opposition captures Damascus • 25%
Opposition captures other major cities but not Damascus • 25%
Opposition fails to capture any major cities • 25%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Rebels establish new government • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
International intervention leads to resolution • 25%
Assad Regime remains in power • 25%
Rebel forces take control • 25%
International intervention leads to new governance • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Rebels capture Damascus • 25%
Rebels encircle but do not capture Damascus • 25%
Government retains control of Damascus • 25%
Stalemate with no decisive control • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Military coup • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Granted asylum in Iraq • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Other • 25%
Full control and recognized government • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Regime reestablished • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%