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What will be the outcome of the reported collapse of Assad's regime by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Military coup • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and official announcements
Story
Syrian Rebels Remove Soleimani, Nasrallah Posters from Iranian Embassy Amid Assad's Collapse
Dec 8, 2024, 06:13 AM
Syrian residents and rebels have torn down posters of Qassem Soleimani and Hassan Nasrallah from the facade of the Iranian Embassy in Damascus. Videos and images circulating on social media captured the destruction of banners featuring the late Iranian military commander Soleimani and the former Hezbollah leader Nasrallah at the Iranian Embassy compound. This incident follows reports of armed opposition entering Damascus and the reported collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime, with some sources mentioning the flight of Iranian embassy staff.
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Assad is exiled • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down voluntarily • 25%
Assad is overthrown • 25%
Civil war intensifies • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Regime change without Assad stepping down • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
Assad returns to power • 25%
New regime established • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
