Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Russia's threat against Ukraine by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Verified news reports and official statements from Russian or Ukrainian authorities
Story
Putin Threatens Greater Destruction After Kazan Hit by Eight Ukrainian Drones
Dec 22, 2024, 12:15 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to bring greater destruction to Ukraine following a drone attack involving at least eight drones on the Russian city of Kazan, located approximately 1,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. On Saturday, Ukrainian drones loaded with explosives targeted Kazan, damaging infrastructure that authorities in the Republic of Tatarstan have pledged to restore. Speaking during a videoconference dedicated to the launch of transportation infrastructure projects, Putin stated, 'Whoever tries to destroy something here will face many times more destruction themselves and will regret what they are trying to do in our country.'
View original story
Similar markets
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia attacks Kyiv non-nuclearly • 25%
Russia does not attack Kyiv • 25%
Russia attacks another Ukrainian city • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation and peace talks • 25%
Continued military stalemate • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 25%
Ukraine cleared of responsibility • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
No missile strike • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine Victory • 25%
Russia Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ukraine wins • 25%
Russia wins • 25%
Stalemate or ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated peace agreement • 25%