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What will be the outcome of the political crisis in Canada by December 31, 2025?
2
Canada•Chrystia Freeland•Justin Trudeau•Donald Trump•Freeland•Trudeau•Liberal Party•Dominic Leblanc•Great State of Canada•Canadian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trudeau remains PM • 25%
Trudeau resigns • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Liberal Party leadership change • 25%
Official announcements from the Canadian government or reputable news outlets
Story
Freeland Resigns as Canada's Finance Minister; Trudeau Faces Calls to Resign Amid Trump Mockery
Dec 17, 2024, 09:31 AM
Canada's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister, Chrystia Freeland, who had been a key member of Justin Trudeau's cabinet since 2015, has resigned from her position, citing disagreements over how to respond to tariff threats from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Freeland posted her resignation letter online, where she criticized Trudeau's economic strategy. Her departure has plunged Trudeau's government into turmoil, with opposition leaders and members of his own Liberal Party calling for his resignation. In an emergency meeting, several MPs urged Trudeau to step aside. Dominic Leblanc has been sworn in as the new Finance Minister. Meanwhile, Donald Trump mocked Trudeau, referring to him as 'Governor Justin Trudeau' of the 'Great State of Canada' and described Freeland as 'totally toxic,' stating 'she will not be missed.' The political crisis has raised concerns about the economic impact of potential U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports.
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Liberal majority • 25%
Liberal minority • 25%
Conservative majority • 25%
Conservative minority • 25%
Liberal Party wins majority • 25%
Conservative Party wins majority • 25%
NDP wins majority • 25%
No party wins majority • 25%
Liberal Party majority • 25%
Liberal Party minority • 25%
Conservative Party majority • 25%
Conservative Party minority • 25%
Liberals win majority • 25%
Conservatives win majority • 25%
NDP wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Motion Passes • 33%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Liberal Majority • 33%
Conservative Majority • 33%
Minority Government • 33%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Trudeau retains leadership • 25%
Trudeau steps down voluntarily • 25%
Trudeau is ousted • 25%
No leadership challenge occurs • 25%