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What will be the outcome of the next Canadian Federal Election by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Liberal Majority • 33%
Conservative Majority • 33%
Minority Government • 33%
Official election results from Elections Canada or major news outlets
Story
Trudeau Faces Pressure After 10% Swing in Toronto—St. Paul's By-Election
Jun 25, 2024, 09:44 AM
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is facing increased political pressure following a significant defeat for his Liberal Party in a by-election. The Liberals lost the seat of Toronto—St. Paul's to the Conservatives, marking a swing of about 10% against the Liberals. This seat had previously been won by the Liberals by 23 points, making the loss a notable shift towards the Conservatives. The by-election featured 84 candidates, with one, Felix-Antoine Hamel, receiving zero votes. The defeat has led to calls for Trudeau to resign and suggestions that he should call a general election. Politico reported that the heat has cranked up on Trudeau following this surprise defeat.
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